Are Latinos Ready To Vote?

Editor
By Editor October 26, 2018 09:57

Are Latinos Ready To Vote?

Are Latinos Ready To Vote?

Suzanne Gamboa of NBC reports that despite a low investment in voter outreach,  the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials says Latinos are going to go to the polls 8 million strong.-

“The head of a national Latino organization said Wednesday that 7.8 million Latinos are expected to vote in this year’s elections, a 15 percent increase over 2014, but lower than in 2016.

Arturo Vargas, executive director of the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials (NALEO), delivered the numbers in a Washington news conference and in a report. The group has made a tradition of releasing expected Latino voting totals that have generally been close to the final numbers.

Already, 5 percent of registered Latino voters have said in a tracking poll conducted for NALEO by the polling firm Latino Decisions that they have voted, Vargas said.

“Latinos are ready to make their voices heard,” Vargas said.

There are 29 million Latinos eligible to vote in the country. The percentage of those eligible who actually do vote has been declining since 2006.

In 2014, about 6.8 million turned out, about 27 percent of eligible Latino voters, according to Pew Research Center. If the NALEO forecast for this year holds, turnout rate would increase slightly to 28 percent.

In 2016, 12.7 million Latinos voted, about 47.6 percent, but that was a presidential election year.

There has been great interest in how Latino voting will fare this year, the first Congress-wide election since President Donald Trump took office. There have been expectations of increased Latino turnout in response to Trump’s rhetoric about Latinos and policies that have affected the community, including on immigration and health care.

Some political pollsters and consultants have said Latino interest and enthusiasm in voting is down and cause for Democrats to worry. Latinos tend to vote for Democrats and the party has targeted 111 House districts, including 29 where Latinos are 10 percent or more of the eligible voters, in its quest to take control of the U.S. House.

The latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll in October found a significant increase in interest in the election among Latinos over the last month. About seven in 10 Latino voters (71 percent) now express high interest in the election, compared with just 49 percent who said the same in mid-September.

In a Latino Decisions’ tracking poll done for NALEO, from 60 percent to 53 percent of Latinos surveyed over several weeks said they had not been contacted by a party, nonprofit group or candidate about the elections or about registering to vote.

“Latinos are still once again, in our opinion, and I think the data bears this out, are being ignored,” Vargas said. “A majority of voters are telling us no one has reached out to them.”

He said one factor is less investment in nonprofit organizations that had been registering and mobilizing Latinos. NALEO, which has had voter registration programs in the past, has seen “dramatic disinvestment” in its programs by national foundations, funders and donors, he said.

“Latinos have been abandoned by the donor community in election 2018,” Vargas said.

Image: Latino Voters Go To The Polls Early In Florida
Hispanic voters go to the polls for early voting at the Miami-Dade Government Center in Miami, Florida on October 21, 2004.Gaston De Cardenas / Getty Images file

Instead, money is being “surgically directed to certain electoral races and campaigns so particular electoral outcomes can be achieved by the donors and folks investing in races around the country,” he said.

Vargas also said stricter voting requirements, such as voter ID laws, precinct errors and registration problems, also are discouraging Latino voting.

Democratic Party Chairman Tom Perez pushed back this week on criticisms that the party has not invested in the community. He told NBC News that there has been “important and substantial investment in Latino voters across the country” since he began as chairman. The party also issued grants to states to help state parties hire Latinos locally for Latino outreach, among other things.

He said the investment began last year and showed success in turnout in Virginia as well as a Supreme Court judge race in Pennsylvania.

“I knew when I took this job we needed to up our game in every community,” Perez told NBC News.

Editor
By Editor October 26, 2018 09:57

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